Will “World Cup” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “World Cup” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 30, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jul 8, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearancePrime Minister's Questions
World Cup
- Probability
- 46% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Of course, it is only under Labour Governments that we win the world cup, and in that spirit, I am sure that the whole House…
…me in wishing good luck to the England team ahead of the world cup quarter-final. This week, we mark the awful anniversary of 7/7, a…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…team and the Scottish fans for the joy they brought to the world cup? They did the whole of Scotland proud. May I wish England…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…My children, like millions of others, are kicking every ball of England’s world cup campaign, but as a parent I am really concerned about their…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shownQuestions
- How often is “World Cup” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “World Cup” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 30, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jul 8, 2026.
- What is the probability “World Cup” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘World Cup’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/world-cup (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=world%20cup · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP