Will “Wales” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Wales” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 19, 2025 (50%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 23% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 4 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3 of them.
- Last 10
- 2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 34¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Wales
- Probability
- 23% · n=4
- Settled
- 2/4 (50%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 3 of 4 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…House will be with that community today and with the people of Wales. I visited Aberfan on Monday and heard how the injustices the people…
…wait for the Budget. We are keen to support high streets and hospitality up and down the country—in England, Scotland, Northern Ireland and, indeed, Wales.
…has done to stand up for her constituents, but more so for Wales, particularly in her role as Secretary of State for Wales? I understand…
…close on the heels of the end of Labour’s 100-year dominance in Wales. People simply did not feel that his party stood up for them,…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often is “Wales” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Wales” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 19, 2025 (50%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026.
- What is the probability “Wales” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 23%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Wales’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/wale (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=wale · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP