What is the probability “Transportation / Transport” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?

32%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will “Transportation / Transport” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Name: Prime Minister's Questions: “Transportation / Transport” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Transportation / Transport” was not said at the Prime Minister's Questions on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 32% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.

32%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak: not said the last 2 times
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 18:31 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Prime Minister's Questions

Transportation / Transport

Probability: 32% · n=2
Settled: 0/2 (0%)
Last 8 PMQs: said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Andy BurnhamspeakerPrime Minister's Questions, 2 September 2026 · Sep 2, 2026In transcript

…do that. I am in no doubt over the importance of good transport connectivity to young people’s life chances, and I will ask No. 10…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Jeff Smith (Manchester Withington) (Lab)otherPrime Minister's Questions, 8 July 2026 · Jul 8, 2026In transcript

…join me in welcoming Bev’s pledge to extend free travel on public transport to all 11 to 18-year-olds, so all our young people in Greater…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Rachel Hopkins (Luton South and South Bedfordshire) (Lab)otherPrime Minister's Questions, 24 June 2026 · Jun 24, 2026In transcript

…collision south of Bedford, the emergency response from Bedfordshire police, the British Transport police, Bedfordshire fire and rescue service, the East of England ambulance service,…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.