Will “Thank” be said 10+ times at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Thank” was said 10+ times at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 22, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jul 8, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (10+, named speaker only) in 3 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Thank 10+ times
- Probability
- 48% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 3 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
I thank the hon. Gentleman for his question and recognise his sincerity and personal experience in this regard. We have a national cancer plan to…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…“Mr Manchester” on the front page of the Manchester Evening News today. Thank you, Pat, for your contribution to Manchester and to politics in our…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…of PC Matthew Blades, including many serving police officers. We send our thanks to them all for their service and their work to keep our…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…on my first day back for the longest statement in modern history. Thanks for your help with that, Mr Speaker. On my engagements, this evening…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Thank you, Mr Speaker, for your kind words. I must start by saying that I am truly horrified by the murder of Ann Widdecombe. She…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2026 | Thank 10+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Thank 10+ times | Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often is “Thank 10+ times” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Thank” was said 10+ times at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 22, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jul 8, 2026.
- What is the probability “Thank 10+ times” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Thank 10+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/thank-10plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=thank%20%2810%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP