Will “Social Media” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Social Media” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 30, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jul 8, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 4 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Social Media
- Probability
- 46% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 0 of 4 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…that can do to our young children. That is why we banned social media for under-16s. Daniel, who is also here with his son, has…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…car named after local legend George, the Stourbridge station cat, whose global social media following made him a beloved fixture at the junction. Today marks…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…the Prime Minister agree that it is time to stand up to social media companies and reclassify them from platforms to publishers, holding them responsible…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | Social Media |  Polymarket | No |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Social Media | Polymarket | Yes |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Social Media | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Social Media” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Social Media” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 30, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jul 8, 2026.
- What is the probability “Social Media” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Social Media’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/social-media (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=social%20media · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP