Will “Shadow” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Shadow” was not said at the Prime Minister's Questions on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 30% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Shadow
- Probability
- 30% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…authors of that mini-Budget are sitting on the Opposition Benches, including the shadow Chancellor. Does anybody on this side or anybody around the country believe…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…end of the year, but hopefully within the next month? The former shadow Health Secretary from the main Opposition came, and I will make sure…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…memory and that of the House. I remember when he was the shadow Home Secretary, when the then Labour leader wanted us to leave NATO,…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…to the right hon. Lady and, indeed, the whole of her new shadow Cabinet, the majority of whom were part of a Government that lasted…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
I call the shadow Secretary of State for Housing, Communities and Local Government.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often is “Shadow” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Shadow” was not said at the Prime Minister's Questions on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 30, 2026.
- What is the probability “Shadow” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 30%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Shadow’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/shadow (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=shadow · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP