Will “Putin” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Putin” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Dec 3, 2025 (75%), most recently on Dec 17, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.

46%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Prime Minister's Questions

Putin

Probability
46% · n=4
Settled
3/4 (75%)
Last 8 PMQs
said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Mrs BadenochotherPrime Minister's Questions, 21 October 2026 · Oct 21, 2026In transcript

…the Prime Minister accept that every barrel of North sea oil that we produce is a barrel that Europe will not buy from Vladimir Putin?

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Ed DaveyotherPrime Minister's Questions, 14 October 2026 · Oct 14, 2026In transcript

…Scared of the mid-terms, President Trump has done a deal with Vladimir Putin to buy Russian diesel, ripping up international sanctions against Putin. The Prime…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Andy BurnhamspeakerPrime Minister's Questions, 2 September 2026 · Sep 2, 2026In transcript

…towards a good job. That is something that the current education system that was put in place by Michael Gove has sadly failed to do.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Melanie Onn (Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes) (Lab)otherPrime Minister's Questions, 15 July 2026 · Jul 15, 2026In transcript

…the Government absolutely must stick to the pledge that the Labour party put in its 2024 manifesto to halve violence against women and girls over…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

David LammyspeakerPrime Minister's Questions, 8 July 2026 · Jul 8, 2026In transcript

…I hear it is the people versus the establishment: the City trader, Putin-admiring, professional politician who is pals with crypto billionaires versus Count Binface. There…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Dec 24, 2025PutinPolymarketNo
Dec 17, 2025PutinPolymarketYes
Dec 10, 2025PutinPolymarketYes
Dec 3, 2025PutinPolymarketYes

Questions

How often is “Putin” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Putin” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Dec 3, 2025 (75%), most recently on Dec 17, 2025.
What is the probability “Putin” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
46%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Putin’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/putin (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=putin · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP