Will “Liz / Truss” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Liz / Truss” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 12, 2025 (17%), most recently on Dec 10, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 19% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 4 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Liz / Truss
- Probability
- 19% · n=6
- Settled
- 1/6 (17%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 1 of 4 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…at the weekend: she removed a shadow Chancellor who said that the Truss mini-Budget was a mistake and replaced him with one who helped to…
…about destroying legacies, I remember that she was the Chief Whip to Liz Truss. I am very proud that we are building the houses that…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Liz / Truss |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Liz / Truss | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| May 20, 2026 | Liz / Truss |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Liz / Truss | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Liz / Truss | Polymarket | No | – |
| Nov 12, 2025 | Liz / Truss | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often is “Liz / Truss” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Liz / Truss” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 12, 2025 (17%), most recently on Dec 10, 2025.
- What is the probability “Liz / Truss” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 19%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Liz / Truss’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/liz-or-truss (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=liz%20%2F%20truss · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP