Will “King / Queen” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “King / Queen” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 6 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 4, 2026 (17%), most recently on Jun 3, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 18% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 4 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 5 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
King / Queen
- Probability
- 18% · n=6
- Settled
- 1/6 (17%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 1 of 4 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…tribute to those who were lost and to what Her late Majesty Queen Elizabeth II described as the most “indomitable spirit” of the people and…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…Speaker. On my engagements, this evening I will join Their Majesties the King and Queen and President Macron at the British Museum to celebrate the…
…the Prime Minister has come to enjoy our exchanges—in fact, in the King’s Speech debate he told me that on difficult days my input was…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…hon. Friend. I have the honour to say that His Majesty the King has accepted our advice to grant Ruth Ellis, the last woman to…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | King / Queen |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Oct 14, 2026 | King / Queen | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | King / Queen | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 10, 2026 | King / Queen | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jun 10, 2026 | King / Queen | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jun 4, 2026 | King / Queen | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often is “King / Queen” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “King / Queen” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 6 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 4, 2026 (17%), most recently on Jun 3, 2026.
- What is the probability “King / Queen” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 18%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘King / Queen’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/king-or-queen (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=king%20%2F%20queen · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP