Will “Investment” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Investment” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 20, 2026 (75%), most recently on Sep 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 60% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 4 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4 of them.
- Last 10
- 3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Investment
- Probability
- 60% · n=4
- Settled
- 3/4 (75%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 4 of 4 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…North West Essex (Mrs Badenoch) says, we will fully fund the defence investment plan. Even in those circumstances, I found extra money. There comes a…
…are doing, to half a million more children, and we have tripled investment in breakfast clubs. We need to keep working so that no child…
…to provide that funding to our armed forces and back our defence investment plan. This Government’s commitment to the defence of this country is absolute.…
…our country and to defence spending. We will fully fund the defence investment plan. At the spending review we will set out a plan to…
…any Government ever, including previous Labour Governments. We have put the biggest investment into defence and security, and our international standing has been restored. We…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | Investment |  Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Investment | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Investment | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| May 20, 2026 | Investment | Polymarket | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Investment” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Investment” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 20, 2026 (75%), most recently on Sep 9, 2026.
- What is the probability “Investment” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 60%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Investment’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/investment (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=investment · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP