Will “Government” be said 8+ times at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Government” was said 8+ times at the Prime Minister's Questions on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Nov 19, 2025.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (8+, named speaker only) in 3 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Government 8+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 3 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…the Prime Minister commit to supporting this Bill to ensure that his Government and all future Governments are held to account by this House for…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…what I am waiting for. I have had to wait for the Government process, which was struck down by the courts under the Conservative Government,…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…national security, and we will continue to back British farming as a Government. This morning I had meetings with ministerial colleagues and others. In addition…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…put through significant distress throughout this process? Can he also assure them that, unlike the Labour precedent, there will be no Government U-turn on this?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…must do more to defend our democracy, and have tasked officials across Government with identifying the best mechanisms for taking this work forward so that…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2025 | Government 8+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Government 8+ times” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Government” was said 8+ times at the Prime Minister's Questions on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Nov 19, 2025.
- What is the probability “Government 8+ times” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 44%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Government 8+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/government-8plus (CC BY 4.0)
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