Will “European Union” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “European Union” was not said at the Prime Minister's Questions on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 32% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 29¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
European Union
- Probability
- 32% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2026 | European Union |  Polymarket | No |
| Jun 4, 2026 | European Union | Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often is “European Union” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “European Union” was not said at the Prime Minister's Questions on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 4, 2026.
- What is the probability “European Union” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 32%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘European Union’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/european-union (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=european%20union · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP