Will “Emergency” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Emergency” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 19, 2025 (50%), most recently on Nov 19, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearancePrime Minister's Questions
Emergency
- Probability
- 43% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Health Secretary is ensuring that we also bring forward 59 mental health emergency departments to give same-day support to people experiencing a crisis. I am…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…threat to our nation. Is it not time the Government recognised that what is going on in the English channel is a national security emergency?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…will not pay the bills during this winter’s looming cost of living emergency, so will the Prime Minister stand up now and tell people what…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…and their friends and their families, and I pay tribute to the emergency services that did so much on that day. Will the Deputy Prime…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…hopefully agree to bring forward the build of the new Sutton specialist emergency care hospital—build it today, not in 2034—to ensure safe and modern healthcare…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shownQuestions
- How often is “Emergency” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Emergency” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 19, 2025 (50%), most recently on Nov 19, 2025.
- What is the probability “Emergency” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 43%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Emergency’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/emergency (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=emergency · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP