Will “Emergency” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Emergency” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 19, 2025 (50%), most recently on Nov 19, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.

43%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Prime Minister's Questions

Emergency

Probability
43% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)
Last 8 PMQs
said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Andy BurnhamspeakerPrime Minister's Questions, 21 October 2026 · Oct 21, 2026In transcript

…Health Secretary is ensuring that we also bring forward 59 mental health emergency departments to give same-day support to people experiencing a crisis. I am…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Nigel Farage (Clacton) (Reform)otherPrime Minister's Questions, 14 October 2026 · Oct 14, 2026In transcript

…threat to our nation. Is it not time the Government recognised that what is going on in the English channel is a national security emergency?

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Dave Doogan (Angus and Perthshire Glens) (SNP)otherPrime Minister's Questions, 9 September 2026 · Sep 9, 2026In transcript

…will not pay the bills during this winter’s looming cost of living emergency, so will the Prime Minister stand up now and tell people what…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Sir James Cleverly (Braintree) (Con)otherPrime Minister's Questions, 8 July 2026 · Jul 8, 2026In transcript

…and their friends and their families, and I pay tribute to the emergency services that did so much on that day. Will the Deputy Prime…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Luke Taylor (Sutton and Cheam) (LD)otherPrime Minister's Questions, 1 July 2026 · Jul 1, 2026In transcript

…hopefully agree to bring forward the build of the new Sutton specialist emergency care hospital—build it today, not in 2034—to ensure safe and modern healthcare…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Nov 26, 2025EmergencyPolymarketNo
Nov 19, 2025EmergencyPolymarketYes

Questions

How often is “Emergency” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Emergency” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 19, 2025 (50%), most recently on Nov 19, 2025.
What is the probability “Emergency” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
43%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Emergency’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/emergency (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=emergency · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP