Will “Cut” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Cut” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Nov 19, 2025.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Cut
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 2 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…going to be here after that election. They have not made any cuts. We are spending more on interest payments than we do on schools,…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…not be getting that. The last time a Prime Minister tried to cut welfare, Labour MPs stopped him. They are still chuntering now—look at them.…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…defence and, yes, bring the welfare budget down? She would make crude cuts to housing benefit. As I have said, if £4 billion is taken…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…together on welfare. I already made that offer, but it does mean cuts—he wants to bring the welfare bill down by spending more money. Yesterday,…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…the coalition Government, they did not do anything about social care—they simply cut all our public services and we had to pick up the results…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2025 | Cut |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Cut” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Cut” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Nov 19, 2025.
- What is the probability “Cut” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 44%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Cut’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/cut (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=cut · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP