Will “Crime / Criminal” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Crime / Criminal” was not said at the Prime Minister's Questions on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 30% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Crime / Criminal
- Probability
- 30% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…A shuttered police station in the middle of our town centre makes criminals feel that they can get away with it, and residents feel like…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…man. He must know that it is wrong to release 5,000 serious criminals, including rapists and paedophiles. Not only does he know it is wrong,…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2026 | Crime / Criminal |  Polymarket | No |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Crime / Criminal | Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often is “Crime / Criminal” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Crime / Criminal” was not said at the Prime Minister's Questions on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 30, 2026.
- What is the probability “Crime / Criminal” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 30%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Crime / Criminal’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/crime-or-criminal (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=crime%20%2F%20criminal · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP