Will “Cost of Living” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Cost of Living” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Dec 3, 2025 (100%), most recently on Dec 24, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 50% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 4/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearancePrime Minister's Questions
Cost of Living
- Probability
- 50% · n=4
- Settled
- 4/4 (100%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Prime Minister has rightly talked about the need to tackle the cost of living crisis and bring people hope again, which is essential in my…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…But popularity will not pay the bills during this winter’s looming cost of living emergency, so will the Prime Minister stand up now and tell…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…remove VAT from electricity bills. That will help people with the cost of living. Then, days later, with the support of my right hon. Friend…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…many times about the struggles that he has had with the cost of living and the need for a safe and secure home for every…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 24, 2025 | Cost of Living | Yes | |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Cost of Living | Yes | |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Cost of Living | Yes | |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Cost of Living | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Cost of Living” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, “Cost of Living” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Dec 3, 2025 (100%), most recently on Dec 24, 2025.
- What is the probability “Cost of Living” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 50%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Cost of Living’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/cost-of-living (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=cost%20of%20living · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP