What is the probability “Crypto / Bitcoin” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?

41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will “Crypto / Bitcoin” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Name: Prime Minister's Questions: “Crypto / Bitcoin” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Crypto / Bitcoin” was not said at the Prime Minister's Questions on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Nov 19, 2025.

Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak: not said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 05:22 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Prime Minister's Questions

Crypto / Bitcoin

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 0/1 (0%)
Last 8 PMQs: said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

David LammyspeakerPrime Minister's Questions, 8 July 2026 · Jul 8, 2026In transcript

…the establishment: the City trader, Putin-admiring, professional politician who is pals with crypto billionaires versus Count Binface. There have been unqualified joke candidates in the…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Keir StarmerspeakerPrime Minister's Questions, 1 July 2026 · Jul 1, 2026In transcript

…Farage), who is sitting next to him—he received £5 million from a crypto billionaire and then privately lobbied the Bank of England on digital currencies.…