Will “Ban” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Ban” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 30, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jun 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Ban
- Probability
- 43% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…we have lost is the confidence to make tough decisions. Will the Prime Minister now overturn Labour’s ban on all new oil and gas licences?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…the Prime Minister for the action that he took, including the temporary ban on disposable barbecues, but we must face the fact that our climate…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…a young constituent in Darlington. Her testimony was instrumental in securing a ban on stranger contact for under-16s. She has the letter that the Prime…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…than where victims are. We are creating alcohol, pub, football and driving bans. We are implementing income reduction orders. We are expanding chemical castration for…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…we are acting to drive it out of society: new powers to ban repeated protests, new plans to root antisemitism out of our schools, universities…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often is “Ban” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Ban” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 30, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jun 24, 2026.
- What is the probability “Ban” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 43%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Ban’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/ban (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=ban · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP