Will “Austerity / Spending Cut” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Austerity / Spending Cut” was not said at the Prime Minister's Questions on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 12, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Austerity / Spending Cut
- Probability
- 40% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…shutters on Southall police station were pulled down for good because of austerity cuts by the Conservative Government. A shuttered police station in the middle…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…new promises, and he has a choice: higher taxes, more borrowing or spending cuts. Yesterday he said, “Change begins with honesty”, so will he be…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
This is the Chancellor who ended the austerity inflicted on our country for 14 long years. This is the Chancellor who got the economy growing.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | Austerity / Spending Cut |  Polymarket | No |
| Nov 12, 2025 | Austerity / Spending Cut | Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often is “Austerity / Spending Cut” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Austerity / Spending Cut” was not said at the Prime Minister's Questions on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 12, 2025.
- What is the probability “Austerity / Spending Cut” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Austerity / Spending Cut’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/austerity-or-spending-cut (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=austerity%20%2F%20spending%20cut · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP