Will “Apologize / Apology” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Apologize / Apology” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 29, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Apologize / Apology
- Probability
- 45% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…the right hon. Gentleman that it is not acceptable for his constituents—[Interruption.] Apologies—I realise his constituency is somewhere else. It is not acceptable for people…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…this exchange and be shocked by how it is coming across: no apology to the victims; and no guarantee that paedophiles and rapists will not…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | Apologize / Apology |  Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Apologize / Apology | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often is “Apologize / Apology” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Apologize / Apology” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 29, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 20, 2026.
- What is the probability “Apologize / Apology” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Apologize / Apology’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/apologize-or-apology (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=apologize%20%2F%20apology · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP