Will Mark Rutte say “Trump”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Mark Rutte said “Trump” at 4 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 24, 2025 (67%), most recently on Sep 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 51% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Sep 24, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 4/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Mark Rutte
Trump
- Probability
- 51% · n=6
- Settled
- 4/6 (67%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted; 22 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Mark Rutte say “Trump”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Mark Rutte said “Trump” at 4 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 24, 2025 (67%), most recently on Sep 24, 2026.
- What is the probability Mark Rutte says “Trump” next time?
- 51%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Mark Rutte: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/mark-rutte/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mark-rutte&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mark-rutte&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP