Will Mark Rutte say “Oil / Gas / Gasoline”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Mark Rutte said “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 16, 2026 (40%), most recently on Jul 8, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 56% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Sep 24, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).

56%from settlement history only · n=5counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Mark Rutte

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

Probability
56% · n=5
Settled
2/5 (40%)
Last 1 transcript
said in 0 of 1

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Mark Rutte say during Fox News: America Reports? · not said

Open the appearance

What will Mark Rutte say during his press conference? · settled yes

Open the appearance

We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Mark Rutte say during his Atlantic Council conversation? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Mark Rutte say during Fox News: Special Report? · settled yes

Open the appearance

We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Mark Rutte say during his Press Conference? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mark Rutte say during his NATO Press Conference? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mark Rutte say during his press conference? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Mark Rutte say during his address? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mark Rutte say during his Fox News Interview? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mark Rutte say during NATO Public Forum Address on June 24? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 24, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo0
Jul 8, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Jun 25, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo–
Jun 23, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–
Apr 16, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolinePolymarketNo–

Questions

How often does Mark Rutte say “Oil / Gas / Gasoline”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Mark Rutte said “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 16, 2026 (40%), most recently on Jul 8, 2026.
What is the probability Mark Rutte says “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” next time?
56%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Mark Rutte: ‘Oil / Gas / Gasoline’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/mark-rutte/words/gas-or-gasoline-or-oil (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mark-rutte&word=gas%20%2F%20gasoline%20%2F%20oil · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mark-rutte&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP