Will “Voter ID / VoterID” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Voter ID / VoterID” was said at the White House press briefing on 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Feb 18, 2026 (33%), most recently on Feb 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Voter ID / VoterID
- Probability
- 36% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…spoke about this and there was a very loud applause from the people in the audience the everyday Americans because voter ID is common sense.
…the American people love the SAVE America Act because they believe in voter ID? But how many of those same senators don't want to vote…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | Voter ID / VoterID |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Voter ID / VoterID | Polymarket | No | – |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Voter ID / VoterID | Polymarket | Yes | 2 |
Questions
- How often is “Voter ID / VoterID” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Voter ID / VoterID” was said at the White House press briefing on 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Feb 18, 2026 (33%), most recently on Feb 18, 2026.
- What is the probability “Voter ID / VoterID” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 36%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Voter ID / VoterID’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/voter-id-or-voterid (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=voter%20id%20%2F%20voterid · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP