Will “Very clear” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Very clear” was said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 1, 2026.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Last said
- Apr 27, 2026
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceWhite House press briefing
Very clear
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…go after crooks and criminals and thieves. The government has made it very clear that China has been stealing from our AI companies, so is…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…It's that simple. And to your point about negotiations, the president's been very clear, we're not talking to them and we're not going to talk…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…-- I'm sorry, without pay. The administrative leave is unpaid, to be very clear. That was a decision by the President, so I think that…
…least at some high level of our government. Look, the president's been very clear. He does not withdraw from Israel; no one could withdraw from…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…have been going back and forth. And President Trump has made it very clear, he talked about it at the cabinet meeting, that he --…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Very clear | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Very clear” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, “Very clear” was said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 1, 2026.
- What is the probability “Very clear” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Very clear’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/very-clear (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=very%20clear · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP