Will “UFO/UAP” be said at the next White House press briefing?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “UFO/UAP” was not said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 20, 2024.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only

BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

White House press briefing

UFO/UAP

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
0/1 (0%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Katie Zacharia say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing? · not listed

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What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Dr. Oz say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will the Press Secretary say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Dec 20, 2024UFO/UAPPolymarketNo

Questions

How often is “UFO/UAP” said at the White House press briefing?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “UFO/UAP” was not said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 20, 2024.
What is the probability “UFO/UAP” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
37%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘UFO/UAP’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/uap-or-ufo (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=uap%20%2F%20ufo · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP