White House press briefing, Dec 20, 2024
Polymarket What will KJP say during next White House press briefing?
Markets
15 words · 6 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pardon | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| President 15+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| President 30+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Border 3+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Syria | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| President 45+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ukraine | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Alien | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Drone 3+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| One More Question | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| South Korea | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| UFO/UAP | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Kamala | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Putin | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-kjp-say-during-next-white-house-press-briefing · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP