Will “State of the Union” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “State of the Union” was not said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 26, 2026.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
State of the Union
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | State of the Union |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often is “State of the Union” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, “State of the Union” was not said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 26, 2026.
- What is the probability “State of the Union” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 34%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘State of the Union’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/state-of-the-union (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=state%20of%20the%20union · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP