Will “President” be said 50+ times at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “President” was said 50+ times at the White House press briefing on 10 of 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 31, 2025 (91%), most recently on Jul 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=11, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (50+, role: press secretary) in 2 of them.
- Last 10
- 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
President 50+ times
- Probability
- 53% · n=11
- Settled
- 10/11 (91%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 2 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Counts: role: press secretary
51 counted (14 in prepared remarks, 37 in Q&A); 14 by speakers the rule does not count.
…Gabe. We'll begin today with a few scheduling announcements. Later this afternoon, President Trump will welcome the Los Angeles Dodgers back to the White House…
…the First Amendment alongside all of you members of the media. The President looks forward to finishing what he started before a despicable assassination attempt…
Counts: role: press secretary
86 counted (12 in prepared remarks, 74 in Q&A); 31 by speakers the rule does not count.
…few scheduling announcements. Tonight, as you all know, at 9:00 PM Eastern, President Trump will deliver a major address to the nation on protecting the…
…grandest stage. Turning now to the economy, Tuesday's CPI report confirmed what President Trump predicted: prices are falling, and this administration's economic policies are working.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 12 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | President 50+ times |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Jul 23, 2026 | President 50+ times | Polymarket | Yes | 51 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | President 50+ times | Polymarket | Yes | 86 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | President 50+ times | Polymarket | Yes | 71 |
| Mar 31, 2026 | President 50+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| May 9, 2025 | President 50+ times | Polymarket | Yes | 79 |
| Mar 5, 2025 | President 50+ times | Polymarket | Yes | 103 |
| Feb 25, 2025 | President 50+ times | Polymarket | Yes | 75 |
| Feb 12, 2025 | President 50+ | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Feb 5, 2025 | President 50+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jan 31, 2025 | President 50+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jan 31, 2025 | President 50+ times |  Kalshi | Yes | 80 |
Questions
- How often is “President 50+ times” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “President” was said 50+ times at the White House press briefing on 10 of 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 31, 2025 (91%), most recently on Jul 23, 2026.
- What is the probability “President 50+ times” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 53%, from settlement history (n=11). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘President 50+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/president-50plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=president%20%2850%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP