Will “President” be said 100+ times at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “President” was said 100+ times at the White House press briefing on 1 of 12 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 31, 2025 (8%), most recently on Feb 12, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 32% (n=12, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 2 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (100+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 9 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
President 100+ times
- Probability
- 32% · n=12
- Settled
- 1/12 (8%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 0 of 2 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
I am so honored to work for President Trump and the American people as the new White House press secretary. I want to thank President…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…Justice. The first thing I'm going to talk about is terrorism. Since President Trump returned to office, FBI data shows 4,260 arrests related to FTOs,…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Thanks, Mr. Vice President. Today is the first White House press briefing since the departure of the great Karoline Leavitt. A key part of her…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…Gabe. We'll begin today with a few scheduling announcements. Later this afternoon, President Trump will welcome the Los Angeles Dodgers back to the White House…
…few scheduling announcements. Tonight, as you all know, at 9:00 PM Eastern, President Trump will deliver a major address to the nation on protecting the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 13 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2025 | President 100+ times |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Apr 11, 2025 | President 100+ times | Polymarket | No | 61 |
| Apr 1, 2025 | President 100+ times | Polymarket | No | 60 |
| Mar 26, 2025 | President 100+ times | Polymarket | No | 44 |
| Mar 17, 2025 | President 100+ times | Polymarket | No | 75 |
| Mar 11, 2025 | President 100+ times | Polymarket | No | 84 |
| Mar 5, 2025 | President 100+ times | Polymarket | No | 103 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
| Feb 25, 2025 | President 100+ times | Polymarket | No | 75 |
| Feb 20, 2025 | President 100+ times | Polymarket | No | 12 |
| Feb 12, 2025 | President 100+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Feb 5, 2025 | President 100+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jan 31, 2025 | President 100+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jan 31, 2025 | President 100+ times |  Kalshi | No | 80 |
Questions
- How often is “President 100+ times” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “President” was said 100+ times at the White House press briefing on 1 of 12 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 31, 2025 (8%), most recently on Feb 12, 2025.
- What is the probability “President 100+ times” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 32%, from settlement history (n=12). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘President 100+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/president-100plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=president%20%28100%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP