Will “Kamala” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Kamala” was not said at the White House press briefing on any of the 5 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Dec 10, 2024. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 28% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 5 times
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Kamala
- Probability
- 28% · n=5
- Settled
- 0/5 (0%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often is “Kamala” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Kamala” was not said at the White House press briefing on any of the 5 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Dec 10, 2024.
- What is the probability “Kamala” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 28%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Kamala’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/kamala (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=kamala · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP