Will “Healthcare” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Healthcare” was said at the White House press briefing on 4 of 20 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 20, 2025 (20%), most recently on Feb 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 23% (n=20, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 8 times
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Healthcare
- Probability
- 23% · n=20
- Settled
- 4/20 (20%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Biden administration, guys were getting fired because they were making their own health care decisions, and the Biden administration was treating them like they were…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…other areas. I just learned this morning now they're infiltrating the home health care space in California, which is equally a problem because now they're…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 20 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Healthcare |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Healthcare | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Healthcare | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Healthcare | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Healthcare | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Healthcare | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Healthcare | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Healthcare |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Healthcare | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Healthcare | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Healthcare | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Healthcare | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Healthcare | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Healthcare | Kalshi | Yes | 18 |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Healthcare | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jan 7, 2026 | Healthcare | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Healthcare | Kalshi | Yes | 9 |
| Dec 1, 2025 | Healthcare | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Nov 20, 2025 | Healthcare | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| May 20, 2025 | Healthcare | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Healthcare” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, “Healthcare” was said at the White House press briefing on 4 of 20 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 20, 2025 (20%), most recently on Feb 18, 2026.
- What is the probability “Healthcare” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 23%, from settlement history (n=20). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Healthcare’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/healthcare (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=healthcare · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP