Will “Gas / Gallon” be said at the next White House press briefing?

As of Oct 27, 2026, “Gas / Gallon” was not said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 1, 2026.

Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 2 of them.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
role: press secretary

BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

White House press briefing

Gas / Gallon

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
0/1 (0%)
Last 8 press briefings
said in 2 of 3 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: role: press secretary

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Katie ZachariaspeakerPress Secretary Katie Zacharia Briefs Members of the Media, Oct. 13, 2026 · Oct 13, 2026 · 4:24In transcript

…a great relationship with Venezuela. The US achieved record domestic oil and gas production in 2025 and record crude and petroleum product exports in 2026.…

JD VancespeakerVice President JD Vance Briefs Members of the Media, Sep. 3, 2026 · Sep 3, 2026 · 2:07In transcript

…we had for a very long time, the Biden administration, draining the Strategic Petroleum Reserve purely for the purpose of lowering gas and oil costs.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Karoline LeavittspeakerPress Secretary Karoline Leavitt Briefs Members of the Media, Jul. 16, 2026 · Jul 16, 2026 · 30:32In transcript

With respect to gas prices, as you know, the price of oil right now is approximately $80 a barrel, maybe a little less. Before I…

JD VancespeakerVice President JD Vance Briefs Members of the Media, Jun. 18, 2026 · Jun 18, 2026 · 0:32In transcript

…Oil prices are down nearly at their level from the pre-war conflict. Gas prices dropped below $4 a gallon today for the first time since…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Scott BessentspeakerSecretary of the Treasury Scott Bessent Briefs Members of the Media, May 28, 2026 · May 28, 2026 · 1:50In transcript

Natural gas is down. That's why I believe, and the futures market is showing us, oil will be lower than pre-conflict levels. We are more…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Katie Zacharia say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing? · not listed

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What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Dr. Oz say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will the Press Secretary say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
May 1, 2026Gas / GallonPolymarketNo

Questions

How often is “Gas / Gallon” said at the White House press briefing?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Gas / Gallon” was not said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 1, 2026.
What is the probability “Gas / Gallon” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
33%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.

Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Gas / Gallon’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/gallon-or-gas (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=gallon%20%2F%20gas · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP