Will “Fake News” be said at the next White House press briefing?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Fake News” was said at the White House press briefing on 1 of 12 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 30, 2025 (8%), most recently on Feb 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 18% (n=12, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 0 of them.

18%from settlement history only · n=12Next: Press briefing, Feb 1, 2027 · counts: role: press secretary
Last 10
1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 9 times
Counts
role: press secretary
Market
27¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)

BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy

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Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

White House press briefing

Fake News

Probability
18% · n=12
Settled
1/12 (8%)
Last 8 press briefings
said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: role: press secretary

What will Katie Zacharia say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing? · not said

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What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing? · settled no

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What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing? · not said

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What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing? · not said

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What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Dr. Oz say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will the Press Secretary say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 13 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 13, 2026Fake NewsKalshiNo0
Sep 15, 2026Fake NewsKalshiNo–
Jul 23, 2026Fake NewsKalshiNo0
Jul 17, 2026Fake NewsKalshiNo0
Apr 27, 2026Fake NewsKalshiNo0
Apr 15, 2026Fake NewsKalshiNo0
Apr 8, 2026Fake NewsKalshiNo0
Mar 31, 2026Fake NewsPolymarketNo–
Mar 31, 2026Fake NewsKalshiNo0
Mar 10, 2026Fake NewsPolymarketNo–
Feb 26, 2026Fake newsPolymarketYes–
Jan 26, 2026Fake newsPolymarketNo0
Jun 30, 2025Fake NewsKalshiNo0

Questions

How often is “Fake News” said at the White House press briefing?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Fake News” was said at the White House press briefing on 1 of 12 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 30, 2025 (8%), most recently on Feb 26, 2026.
What is the probability “Fake News” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
18%, from settlement history (n=12). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.

Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Fake News’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/fake-new (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=fake%20new · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP