Will “Executive order” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Executive order” was said at the White House press briefing on 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 19, 2025 (75%), most recently on May 9, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 2 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Executive order
- Probability
- 42% · n=4
- Settled
- 3/4 (75%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 0 of 2 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Oh, sorry. Does the Supreme Court's ruling on the mail in ballot executive order present an obstacle to future ballot fraud prosecution, in your view?…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Well, the President talked about this a bit on Friday with an executive order that desires to provide states with better science to be able…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Mr. Secretary, without an executive order, does the US government have adequate defenses in place to address the risk created by Anthropic's new AI models?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2025 | Executive order |  Polymarket | Yes | 3 |
| Apr 1, 2025 | Executive Order | Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Mar 26, 2025 | Executive Order | Polymarket | Yes | 3 |
| Mar 19, 2025 | Executive Order | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often is “Executive order” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Executive order” was said at the White House press briefing on 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 19, 2025 (75%), most recently on May 9, 2025.
- What is the probability “Executive order” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Executive order’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/executive-order (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=executive%20order · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP