White House press briefing, Mar 19, 2025
Polymarket What will Karoline Leavitt say during next White House press briefing?
Markets
17 words · 5 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| John F. Kennedy / JFK | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Astronaut | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Common Sense | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Go ahead 3+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Elon | Yes | 37%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Executive Order | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Putin 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Reciprocal | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Subscriber | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Carney | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | open | – | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | open | – | – |
| DEI | open | – | – |
| Egregious | open | – | – |
| President 100+ times | open | – | – |
| President 60+ times | open | – | – |
| President 80+ times | open | – | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-karoline-leavitt-say-during-next-white-house-press-briefing-03192025 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP