Will “Energy” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Energy” was said at the White House press briefing on 7 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 20, 2025 (78%), most recently on Feb 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=9, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 3 of them.
- Last 10
- 7/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes no no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Energy
- Probability
- 48% · n=9
- Settled
- 7/9 (78%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 3 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…especially as we are in the middle of the midterm blitz, with energy and excitement never seen before in the history of midterms, thanks to…
…wasn't, you know, a foreign nation that was trying to disrupt world energy markets. There was just an administration that was trying to juice gas…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…money back into the pockets of the American people. Finally, on the energy front, after this briefing, President Trump will participate in a historic Ratepayer…
…warned about. And that's in large part because of the President's domestic energy policies here at home to revamp our domestic production here. But also,…
…They stopped selling oil. And now we've lifted the blockade in order to promote the free flow of energy across across the world. Go ahead.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 9 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Energy |  Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Energy |  Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Oct 23, 2025 | Energy | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Oct 6, 2025 | Energy | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Energy | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Aug 13, 2025 | Energy | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Jul 23, 2025 | Energy | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Jun 6, 2025 | Energy | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| May 20, 2025 | Energy | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
Questions
- How often is “Energy” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Energy” was said at the White House press briefing on 7 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 20, 2025 (78%), most recently on Feb 26, 2026.
- What is the probability “Energy” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=9). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Energy’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/energy (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=energy · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP