Will “Elon” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Elon” was said at the White House press briefing on 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 17, 2025 (25%), most recently on Mar 19, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 37% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 2 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Elon
- Probability
- 37% · n=4
- Settled
- 1/4 (25%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 0 of 2 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often is “Elon” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Elon” was said at the White House press briefing on 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 17, 2025 (25%), most recently on Mar 19, 2025.
- What is the probability “Elon” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 37%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Elon’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/elon (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=elon · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP