Will “Economy” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Economy” was said at the White House press briefing on 3 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 16, 2025 (43%), most recently on Jul 31, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 3 of them.
- Last 10
- 3/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- role: press secretary
- Market
- 53¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Economy
- Probability
- 36% · n=7
- Settled
- 3/7 (43%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 3 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…historic one day war, and now we are -- have a booming economy and a great relationship with Venezuela. The US achieved record domestic oil…
…little bit of time to rebuild the foundation of America's middle class economy. I think we've made incredible strides. But our argument to the American…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…a very entertaining and memorable evening. Looking ahead to next week, on Monday, President Trump will travel to Michigan to deliver remarks on the economy.
…to host the world on the grandest stage. Turning now to the economy, Tuesday's CPI report confirmed what President Trump predicted: prices are falling, and…
…the broader region win. Iran is weakened, their nuclear program destroyed, their economy in desperate straits. And if they change their behavior, big things are…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Economy” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Economy” was said at the White House press briefing on 3 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 16, 2025 (43%), most recently on Jul 31, 2025.
- What is the probability “Economy” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 36%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Economy’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/economy (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=economy · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP