Will “Homeland Security / DHS” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Homeland Security / DHS” was said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 31, 2025.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 2 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Homeland Security / DHS
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 2 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…there may be a question about in a moment, the DOJ and DHS are working together to prioritize unlawful voting in our elections. Election integrity…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…many illegal aliens, I don't keep track of every single person that DHS deports, so I found about it -- out about it publicly. I'm…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…and being on our voter rolls in our country. The Secretary of Homeland Security, as you know, sent a letter to several states, including New…
…to the border. Brand new numbers this week from the Department of Homeland Security and Customs and Border Protection confirmed that, for the 14th straight…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2025 | Homeland Security / DHS |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Homeland Security / DHS” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Homeland Security / DHS” was said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 31, 2025.
- What is the probability “Homeland Security / DHS” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Homeland Security / DHS’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/dhs-or-homeland-security (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=dhs%20%2F%20homeland%20security · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP