Will “FED / Chair” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “FED / Chair” was said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 1, 2026.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Last said
- Apr 27, 2026
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
FED / Chair
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…all of you. Let me start here with Nick, who I believe is in the new media chair. Nick, what do you got for me?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…about this within the last hour? I mean, does he essentially seem fed up with these negotiations? And can you explain why the American people…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…Real GDP has risen 2.6 percent over the past four quarters. Atlanta Fed's GDP Now predicts 3.8 percent for this quarter, second quarter. The US…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | FED / Chair |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “FED / Chair” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, “FED / Chair” was said at the White House press briefing on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 1, 2026.
- What is the probability “FED / Chair” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘FED / Chair’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/chair-or-fed (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=chair%20%2F%20fed · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP