Will “Border” be said at the next White House press briefing?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Border” was said at the White House press briefing on 29 of 41 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 18, 2025 (71%), most recently on Oct 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=41, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 2 of them.

48%from settlement history only · n=41Next: Press briefing, Feb 1, 2027 · counts: role: press secretary
Last 10
4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes no no yes no no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
role: press secretary
Market
40¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)

BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

White House press briefing

Border

Probability
48% · n=41
Settled
29/41 (71%)
Last 8 press briefings
said in 2 of 3 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: role: press secretary

What will Katie Zacharia say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing? · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: role: press secretary

2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).

Katie Zachariaspeakerqa · 1:59In transcript

…agenda of lower taxes, higher wages, and one of my favorites, secure borders. But it doesn't stop there. President Trump is planning to hold rallies…

Katie Zachariaspeakerqa · 8:03In transcript

…that won't happen. And here at home, fentanyl trafficking across the southern border is down 56 percent, and fentanyl linked deaths plunged 22 percent in…

What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing? · settled no

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What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing? · not said

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What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing? · not listed

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What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing? · said 6 times (counts)

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Counts: role: press secretary

6 counted (6 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Karoline Leavittspeakerprepared · 4:13In transcript

…easy to use for parents at home. Finally, let's turn to the border. Brand new numbers this week from the Department of Homeland Security and…

Karoline Leavittspeakerprepared · 4:42In transcript

…this administration. Illegal crossings in June remained at historic lows, and southwest border apprehensions are down 94 percent compared to the same period under the…

Every match in the transcript

What will Dr. Oz say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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What will the Press Secretary say during the next White House press briefing? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 41 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 13, 2026BorderKalshiYes2
Aug 31, 2026BorderPolymarketNo–
Jul 23, 2026BorderPolymarketNo0
Jul 16, 2026BorderPolymarketYes6
Apr 15, 2026BorderKalshiNo0
Apr 8, 2026BorderKalshiNo0
Mar 31, 2026BorderKalshiYes3
Mar 30, 2026BorderKalshiYes1
Mar 10, 2026BorderKalshiNo0
Mar 4, 2026BorderKalshiNo0
Feb 26, 2026BorderPolymarketNo–
Feb 18, 2026BorderKalshiYes3
Feb 10, 2026BorderKalshiYes5
Feb 5, 2026BorderKalshiYes13
Jan 26, 2026BorderKalshiYes10
Jan 20, 2026BorderKalshiNo0
Jan 15, 2026BorderKalshiYes1
Jan 9, 2026BorderKalshiYes1
Jan 7, 2026BorderKalshiNo0
Dec 11, 2025BorderKalshiYes6
Dec 1, 2025BorderKalshiYes6
Nov 4, 2025BorderKalshiYes3
Oct 23, 2025BorderKalshiYes3
Oct 6, 2025BorderKalshiNo0
Oct 4, 2025BorderKalshiNo0
Oct 1, 2025BorderKalshiYes1
Sep 22, 2025BorderKalshiYes1
Aug 29, 2025BorderKalshiYes1
Aug 20, 2025BorderKalshiYes1
Jul 31, 2025BorderKalshiYes3
Jul 23, 2025BorderKalshiYes1
Jul 17, 2025BorderKalshiYes5
Jun 30, 2025BorderKalshiYes3
Jun 6, 2025BorderKalshiYes8
May 22, 2025BorderKalshiYes4
May 20, 2025BorderKalshiYes3
May 19, 2025BorderKalshiYes8
May 9, 2025BorderKalshiNo0
May 1, 2025BorderKalshiYes2
Mar 20, 2025BorderKalshiYes1
Mar 18, 2025BorderKalshiYes6

Questions

How often is “Border” said at the White House press briefing?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Border” was said at the White House press briefing on 29 of 41 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 18, 2025 (71%), most recently on Oct 13, 2026.
What is the probability “Border” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
48%, from settlement history (n=41). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.

Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Border’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/border (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=border · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP