Will “Affordable / Affordability” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Affordable / Affordability” was said at the White House press briefing on 9 of 17 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 20, 2025 (53%), most recently on Apr 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=17, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no no yes no no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- role: press secretary
- Market
- 16¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Affordable / Affordability
- Probability
- 42% · n=17
- Settled
- 9/17 (53%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…said. If you think that inflation is a problem, if you think affordability is a problem, number one, we're doing everything we can to bring…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…with the help of Republicans in Congress. Democrats throw around the word affordability a lot, but when they had the chance to vote for the…
…he commented on how challenging it had been to deal with the affordability crisis in pharmaceutical medications, often commenting on the fact that he'd been…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 19 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Affordable / Affordability |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Affordability / Affordable |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Affordable / Affordability | Polymarket | Yes | 6 |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | Yes | 6 |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Affordable / Affordability | Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Jan 7, 2026 | Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | Yes | 0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | Yes | 8 |
| Dec 1, 2025 | Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Nov 20, 2025 | Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How often is “Affordable / Affordability” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Affordable / Affordability” was said at the White House press briefing on 9 of 17 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 20, 2025 (53%), most recently on Apr 15, 2026.
- What is the probability “Affordable / Affordability” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=17). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Affordable / Affordability’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/affordability-or-affordable (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=affordability%20%2F%20affordable · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP