Will Karoline Leavitt say “Trump” 3+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Karoline Leavitt said “Trump” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 10, 2026.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press briefings; Mar 10, 2026 – Jul 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 8.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Karoline Leavitt
Trump (3+ times)
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…We'll begin today with a few scheduling announcements. Later this afternoon, President Trump will welcome the Los Angeles Dodgers back to the White House to…
…scheduling announcements. Tonight, as you all know, at 9:00 PM Eastern, President Trump will deliver a major address to the nation on protecting the integrity…
Good afternoon, everyone. Later today, President Trump and the First Lady will welcome King Charles and Queen Camilla for a state visit here at the…
…me today. I will start with some scheduling announcements. Tomorrow afternoon, President Trump will travel to Las Vegas, Nevada to hold a round table and…
…under the Take It Down Act. Landmark legislation, that First Lady, Melania Trump, played an instrumental role in getting past that protects victims from non-consensual,…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Karoline Leavitt say “Trump (3+ times)”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Karoline Leavitt said “Trump” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 10, 2026.
- What is the probability Karoline Leavitt says “Trump (3+ times)” next time?
- 52%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Karoline Leavitt: ‘Trump (3+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/karoline-leavitt/words/trump-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=trump%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP