Karoline Leavitt: Episode, Mar 15, 2025
Kalshi What will Karoline Leavitt say on Sunday Morning Futures?
Markets
20 words · 1 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tariff | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bitcoin | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Canada | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ceasefire | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| CNN | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Columbia / Colombia | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Elon / Musk | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gaza | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hostage | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Israel | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mahmoud / Khalil | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mexico | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| New York Times / NYT | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Peace | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Putin | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shutdown / Shut down | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Socialist | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Wall Street Journal / WSJ | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Zelensky | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLEAVITTSMFMENTION-25MAR15 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP