Will Karoline Leavitt say “Nuclear”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Karoline Leavitt said “Nuclear” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 2, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 44% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press briefings; Mar 10, 2026 – Jul 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 7.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Karoline Leavitt
Nuclear
- Probability
- 44% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…will read it for those at home who missed it. The civil nuclear deal, there will be no enrichment of material. An important point being…
…Operation Epic Fury in the first place. Iran can never obtain a nuclear weapon. That's why he launched Operation Epic Fury. They have suffered devastating…
Iran has proposed a mutual reopening of the Strait, leaving the nuclear discussion for later in the process. Given that the nuclear program has been…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…ensure that the world's leading state sponsor of terror cannot obtain a nuclear weapon. That's a good thing for the American people. That's a good…
…the region, and most importantly, Iran will not be able to acquire nuclear weapons. Prior to the start of this successful operation, Iran was aggressively…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Karoline Leavitt say “Nuclear”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Karoline Leavitt said “Nuclear” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 2, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Karoline Leavitt says “Nuclear” next time?
- 44%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Karoline Leavitt: ‘Nuclear’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/karoline-leavitt/words/nuclear (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=nuclear · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP