Will Karoline Leavitt say “Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Karoline Leavitt said “Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 22, 2026 (100%), most recently on Aug 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 56% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press briefings; Mar 10, 2026 – Jul 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 5.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Karoline Leavitt
Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation
- Probability
- 56% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…on Iran for nearly every day this week. Do you and does the White House describe negotiations more at a standstill or essentially completely over?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…the process. Given that the nuclear program has been a red line for this administration, would the President agree to that kind of phased negotiation?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…not true. At this moment, we've remained very much engaged in these negotiation, in these talks. You heard from the vice president directly and the…
…United States, allowing he and his leadership team to engage in tough negotiations over the past couple of weeks that have now created an opening…
…that's part of the ongoing process that's taking place and the ongoing negotiations. Of course, anything that they say to us privately will be tested…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2026 | Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Karoline Leavitt say “Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Karoline Leavitt said “Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 22, 2026 (100%), most recently on Aug 27, 2026.
- What is the probability Karoline Leavitt says “Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation” next time?
- 56%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Karoline Leavitt: ‘Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/karoline-leavitt/words/negotiate-or-negotiated-or-negotiation (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=negotiate%20%2F%20negotiated%20%2F%20negotiation · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP