Will Karoline Leavitt say “MAGA / Make America Great Again”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Karoline Leavitt said “MAGA / Make America Great Again” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 27, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press briefings; Mar 10, 2026 – Jul 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Karoline Leavitt
MAGA / Make America Great Again
- Probability
- 47% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…self-driving cars. Sophia Cuningham and the WNBA has been attacked as a MAGA Barbie for saying it's common sense for men to not be in…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | MAGA / Make America Great Again |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Aug 27, 2026 | MAGA / Make America Great Again | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Karoline Leavitt say “MAGA / Make America Great Again”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Karoline Leavitt said “MAGA / Make America Great Again” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 27, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026.
- What is the probability Karoline Leavitt says “MAGA / Make America Great Again” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Karoline Leavitt: ‘MAGA / Make America Great Again’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/karoline-leavitt/words/maga-or-make-america-great-again (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=maga%20%2F%20make%20america%20great%20again · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP