Will Karoline Leavitt say “Immigrant / Immigration”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Karoline Leavitt did not say “Immigrant / Immigration” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 22, 2026.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press briefings; Mar 10, 2026 – Jul 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Karoline Leavitt
Immigrant / Immigration
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…case, is there a concern that babies that are born to illegal immigrants here in the United States are not excluded from these accounts? And…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…anyone who is here illegally or fraudulently is subject to our nation's immigration laws and will be removed from our country, and I know this…
…more than happy to put your safety at risk, because they oppose the President's administration and his administration's efforts to enforce our nation's immigration law.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Immigrant / Immigration |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Karoline Leavitt say “Immigrant / Immigration”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Karoline Leavitt did not say “Immigrant / Immigration” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Karoline Leavitt says “Immigrant / Immigration” next time?
- 35%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Karoline Leavitt: ‘Immigrant / Immigration’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/karoline-leavitt/words/immigrant-or-immigration (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=immigrant%20%2F%20immigration · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP