Will Karoline Leavitt say “ID / Identification”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Karoline Leavitt said “ID / Identification” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 2, 2026.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press briefings; Mar 10, 2026 – Jul 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Karoline Leavitt
ID / Identification
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…spoke about this and there was a very loud applause from the people in the audience the everyday Americans because voter ID is common sense.
…Hill. And you all should ask them why they don't want voter ID, why they don't want proof of citizenship to vote in our nation's…
…the President of the United States. Number one, voters have to show ID to cast a ballot in an American election. Very simple. 90 percent…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | ID / Identification |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Karoline Leavitt say “ID / Identification”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Karoline Leavitt said “ID / Identification” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 2, 2026.
- What is the probability Karoline Leavitt says “ID / Identification” next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Karoline Leavitt: ‘ID / Identification’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/karoline-leavitt/words/id-or-identification (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=id%20%2F%20identification · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP