Will Karoline Leavitt say “God” 3+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Karoline Leavitt said “God” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 2, 2026.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press briefings; Mar 10, 2026 – Jul 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceKaroline Leavitt
God (3+ times)
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…into our country by the Biden administration. And our law enforcement professionals, God bless them, are arresting criminal illegal aliens across the country, including those…
…He tried to charge through it, as you saw on video, and he was quickly neutralized by Secret Service, and thank God that he was.
…nation honors their ultimate sacrifice and we will never forget them. May God bless their families. The valiant efforts of all of our incredible service…
…Pope said yesterday. So Pope Leo said yesterday, and I quote him, God does not listen to the prayer of those who wage war. Can…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | God (3+ times) | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Karoline Leavitt say “God (3+ times)”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Karoline Leavitt said “God” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 2, 2026.
- What is the probability Karoline Leavitt says “God (3+ times)” next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Karoline Leavitt: ‘God (3+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/karoline-leavitt/words/god-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=god%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP